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Red72
54836.8
553313.3
571413.6
Blue106
828628.1
499429.6
364142.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659120408010012014016072106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
36.80.5
39.940.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
blue by 6.0
3641
#10
42.82.7
36.939.6
Auto10.8
Teleop23.1
End8.9
Second
5714
#30
13.60.5
11.512.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 16.0
4994
#11
29.61.6
24.526.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End7.6
Third
5533
#36
13.30.5
12.813.3
Auto7.3
Teleop2.8
End3.3
blue by 14.8
8286
#21
28.12.7
20.423.1
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned