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Red116
553815.6
550545.7
521649.3
Blue52
522420.8
838518.6
924522.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11652010015011652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.1
43.945.0
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
red by 26.5
9245
#22
22.81.0
21.620.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0
Second
45.70.7
43.143.8
Auto13.3
Teleop27.9
End4.4
red by 24.9
5224
#29
20.81.0
20.019.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Third
5538
#17
15.60.7
13.414.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
blue by 3.0
8385
#14
18.60.6
15.014.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed