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Red109
400337.5
607121.3
499429.6
Blue81
89432.8
522420.8
828628.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827805010015020025030010981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#13
37.52.9
35.338.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End7.9
red by 4.7
894
#24
32.80.5
28.228.7
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
Second
4994
#11
29.62.2
24.526.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End7.6
red by 1.5
8286
#21
28.10.6
24.925.6
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End8.4
Third
6071
#25
21.32.7
16.218.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
red by 0.4
5224
#29
20.80.6
20.621.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed