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Red54
261928.6
851723.5
778413.5
Blue118
553815.6
439144.9
499429.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71932040608010012014054118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#16
28.61.1
29.928.8
Auto11.6
Teleop9.7
End7.3
blue by 16.3
44.90.9
43.043.9
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
Second
8517
#28
23.51.1
24.723.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.9
End4.9
blue by 6.0
4994
#11
29.60.9
26.727.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End7.6
Third
7784
#35
13.51.0
14.513.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.2
End3.7
blue by 2.1
5538
#17
15.60.9
14.515.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned