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Red107
485119.7
505331.3
776953.6
Blue66
285135.5
609615.0
552715.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9643015010766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.6
43.745.3
Auto11.9
Teleop32.0
End9.8
red by 18.1
2851
#18
35.50.9
28.229.1
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
Second
5053
#23
31.31.6
23.725.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End6.4
red by 15.9
5527
#22
15.41.0
8.19.2
Auto1.3
Teleop9.0
End5.1
Third
4851
#14
19.71.6
16.017.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.4
red by 4.7
6096
#19
15.00.9
11.011.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed