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Red92
785611.4
654836.4
91034.7
Blue91
721147.9
564219.7
920313.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9070204060801001201409291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
36.40.6
26.026.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
blue by 11.5
47.91.5
42.143.6
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End9.2
Second
910
#17
34.70.6
41.141.7
Auto11.8
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 15.0
5642
#24
19.71.5
15.817.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.7
End6.0
Third
7856
#36
11.40.6
15.215.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End5.0
blue by 2.2
9203
#34
13.51.5
10.612.1
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned