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Red139
721147.9
259118.3
168452.2
Blue69
523118.6
575618.4
285135.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1156802040608010014016013969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.8
44.446.2
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End9.3
red by 16.7
2851
#18
35.50.1
33.333.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
Second
47.91.8
43.645.4
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End9.2
red by 29.3
5231
#31
18.60.1
21.721.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End4.5
Third
2591
#30
18.31.8
13.915.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End7.0
blue by 0.1
5756
#28
18.40.1
15.115.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned