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Red140
353440.4
566043.4
654836.4
Blue105
168452.2
889916.4
505331.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12095406080140160180140105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.4
41.142.4
Auto9.9
Teleop27.0
End6.6
blue by 8.8
52.20.8
46.247.1
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End9.3
Second
3534
#11
40.41.4
38.239.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.9
End8.8
red by 9.1
5053
#23
31.30.8
28.028.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End6.4
Third
6548
#10
36.41.4
30.331.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
red by 20.0
8899
#38
16.40.8
18.419.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned