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Red121
553024.5
24554.2
552715.4
Blue105
575618.4
233761.9
785611.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80105050150121105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
54.22.5
46.248.7
Auto15.0
Teleop30.9
End7.8
blue by 7.7
61.90.0
64.764.7
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End7.9
Second
5530
#13
24.52.5
20.623.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
red by 6.2
5756
#28
18.40.0
15.015.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End8.3
Third
5527
#22
15.42.5
11.413.9
Auto1.3
Teleop9.0
End5.1
red by 4.0
7856
#36
11.40.0
15.815.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned