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Red63
259118.3
521415.8
285135.5
Blue103
656619.1
21750.8
920313.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728220406010012014016063103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#18
35.50.4
33.232.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
blue by 15.3
217
#5
50.81.8
45.247.0
Auto11.4
Teleop30.0
End8.8
Second
2591
#30
18.30.4
15.715.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End7.0
blue by 0.8
6566
#15
19.11.8
17.819.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End3.9
Third
5214
#32
15.80.4
19.819.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End4.9
red by 2.2
9203
#34
13.51.8
12.514.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned