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Red55
552522.9
553024.5
561228.9
Blue140
24554.2
91034.7
353440.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55131010015020055140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#20
28.90.4
25.625.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End9.2
blue by 25.3
245
#2
54.21.8
41.042.8
Auto15.0
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
5530
#13
24.50.4
15.415.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
blue by 15.9
3534
#11
40.41.8
32.534.3
Auto11.8
Teleop19.9
End8.8
Third
5525
#27
22.90.5
20.520.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End6.5
blue by 11.8
910
#17
34.71.8
39.741.5
Auto11.8
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned