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Red100
923818.3
654836.4
523118.6
Blue93
561228.9
438428.8
259118.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757720406010012014010093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
36.41.6
31.633.3
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
red by 7.5
5612
#20
28.90.8
28.028.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End9.2
Second
5231
#31
18.61.6
20.622.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End4.5
blue by 10.2
4384
#33
28.80.8
28.429.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Third
9238
#16
18.31.6
18.219.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End7.2
Level
2591
#30
18.30.8
15.316.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned