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Red118
439012.6
438428.8
721147.9
Blue68
719224.7
259118.3
575618.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9755020408012014011868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.2
46.145.9
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End9.2
red by 23.2
7192
#29
24.70.7
23.624.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.5
End5.8
Second
4384
#33
28.80.2
29.129.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End6.4
red by 10.5
5756
#28
18.40.7
17.318.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End8.3
Third
4390
#35
12.60.2
10.310.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End3.2
blue by 5.7
2591
#30
18.30.7
16.116.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned