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Red74
485119.7
925115.1
566043.4
Blue87
654836.4
521415.8
553024.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8484758090957487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.7
44.844.1
Auto9.9
Teleop27.0
End6.6
red by 7.0
6548
#10
36.40.1
33.333.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
Second
4851
#14
19.70.7
18.818.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.4
blue by 4.8
5530
#13
24.50.1
24.624.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
Third
9251
#21
15.10.7
15.414.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.3
blue by 0.7
5214
#32
15.80.1
21.020.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed