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Red70
353866.5
575618.4
521415.8
Blue118
561228.9
233761.9
654836.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141398010012016018020070118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.52.7
71.068.3
Auto17.7
Teleop38.4
End10.0
red by 4.5
61.90.6
65.865.2
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End7.9
Second
5756
#28
18.42.7
18.015.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End8.3
blue by 18.0
6548
#10
36.40.6
33.132.5
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
Third
5214
#32
15.82.7
20.918.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End4.9
blue by 13.1
5612
#20
28.90.6
28.127.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned