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Red120
656619.1
553024.5
776953.6
Blue98
285135.5
654836.4
552522.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8378405060709010011012012098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.3
45.346.5
Auto11.9
Teleop32.0
End9.8
red by 17.2
6548
#10
36.41.6
24.426.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
Second
5530
#13
24.51.3
15.016.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
blue by 11.0
2851
#18DQ
35.51.6
29.130.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
Third
6566
#15
19.11.3
16.718.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End3.9
blue by 3.8
5525
#27
22.91.6
20.021.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned