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Red102
118831.8
438428.8
654836.4
Blue131
566043.4
353440.4
505331.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100124406080140160180102131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#10
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
blue by 7.0
43.40.4
42.843.2
Auto9.9
Teleop27.0
End6.6
Second
1188
#12
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.9
End8.9
blue by 8.6
3534
#11
40.40.4
39.940.2
Auto11.8
Teleop19.9
End8.8
Third
4384
#33
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End6.4
blue by 2.5
5053
#23
31.30.4
30.731.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End6.4