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Red160
811523.1
171856.6
6762.9
Blue134
922632.2
22643.9
296045.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15112680100140160180200220160134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
62.90.5
62.462.9
Auto19.7
Teleop33.8
End8.7
red by 17.0
45.90.3
45.745.9
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End7.9
Second
56.60.5
56.156.6
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.3
red by 12.7
226
#4
43.90.3
43.643.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.2
End9.8
Third
8115
#37
23.10.5
22.623.1
Auto5.9
Teleop13.2
End3.8
blue by 9.1
9226
#19
32.20.3
31.932.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End6.7