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Red88
656616.2
21744.9
521417.4
Blue112
6839.9
543642.8
608919.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669320408010012014016088112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#13
44.90.5
39.840.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End8.1
red by 2.1
42.81.5
35.637.1
Auto10.2
Teleop25.8
End6.7
Second
5214
#31
17.40.9
8.99.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End7.1
blue by 22.5
68
#5
39.91.5
31.833.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End9.3
Third
6566
#39
16.20.9
16.417.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End3.4
blue by 3.2
6089
#22
19.32.6
16.619.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned