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Red149
615232.7
171856.6
812414.5
Blue73
634433.8
475816.6
922632.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917420406010012014014973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.61.7
44.546.2
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.3
red by 22.9
6344
#17
33.80.2
32.632.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.0
End9.1
Second
6152
#26
32.72.8
20.823.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 0.5
9226
#19
32.20.2
23.022.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End6.7
Third
8124
#41
14.51.7
18.320.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 2.1
4758
#32
16.60.4
16.015.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned