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Red124
543642.8
615232.7
21744.9
Blue139
922632.2
22643.9
296045.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512750100150200124139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#13
44.90.1
44.744.9
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End8.1
blue by 1.1
45.90.4
45.045.4
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End7.9
Second
42.80.1
42.742.8
Auto10.2
Teleop25.8
End6.7
blue by 1.1
226
#4
43.90.4
43.043.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.2
End9.8
Third
6152
#26
32.70.1
32.532.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 0.5
9226
#19
32.20.4
31.231.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End6.7