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Red147
543642.8
615232.7
21744.9
Blue120
125036.3
477636.7
549828.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127101406080140160180200147120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#13
44.90.7
44.044.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End8.1
red by 8.1
4776
#10
36.70.5
35.736.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End9.0
Second
42.80.7
42.042.7
Auto10.2
Teleop25.8
End6.7
red by 6.5
1250
#11
36.30.5
35.135.7
Auto12.6
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
6152
#26
32.70.7
31.832.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 4.6
5498
#20
28.00.5
27.027.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End4.9