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Red115
549828.0
477636.7
125036.3
Blue107
413039.4
134.1
718829.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105110406080120140160180200115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#10
36.70.3
36.236.5
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End9.0
blue by 2.6
4130
#14
39.40.1
39.339.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.7
End5.8
Second
1250
#11
36.30.4
35.736.1
Auto12.6
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 2.2
1
#8
34.10.1
34.034.1
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End8.4
Third
5498
#20
28.00.3
27.527.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End4.9
blue by 1.1
7188
#28
29.10.1
29.029.1
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.9