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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8062204010012014016010133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.9
30.832.7
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End10.2
blue by 3.3
38.32.2
29.227.0
Auto12.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
Second
4398
#10
30.33.1
21.224.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End8.4
red by 11.8
4376
#34
18.52.2
18.216.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Third
7244
#14
27.21.9
21.022.8
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
red by 13.1
5562
#36
14.12.2
13.211.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed