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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847805010015020093104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.0
30.731.7
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End10.2
blue by 12.7
47.72.0
40.542.5
Auto11.5
Teleop28.2
End7.9
Second
5560
#11
30.61.0
27.828.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End8.5
red by 4.3
5110
#17
26.22.0
18.020.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
Third
9176
#30
24.71.6
19.821.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
red by 4.4
5247
#18
20.32.0
15.417.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned