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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038220406012014016018013680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.6
41.841.2
Auto14.2
Teleop24.0
End7.9
red by 12.8
7790
#15
33.40.6
33.332.7
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
Second
38.30.6
32.231.7
Auto12.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 14.7
7794
#12
23.60.6
22.621.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End8.2
Third
7808
#27
17.41.0
19.718.7
Auto6.5
Teleop4.9
End6.0
blue by 3.6
2246
#20
21.00.6
23.823.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned