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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10543015010447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.6
31.732.2
Auto12.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 15.8
6963
#21
22.60.1
19.619.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.0
End5.9
Second
7790
#15
33.40.6
32.733.2
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
red by 17.5
5501
#37
15.90.1
16.015.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End5.7
Third
3618
#13
32.50.6
26.427.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End5.1
red by 22.3
8611
#33
10.20.1
12.812.7
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed