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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897920406010012014016011765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.32.0
32.234.2
Auto12.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 5.0
7790
#15
33.40.7
33.232.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
Second
35.02.0
31.833.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End10.2
red by 14.7
6097
#25
20.31.0
22.921.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Third
6087
#22
20.72.9
18.221.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
red by 4.2
8041
#24
16.51.0
19.518.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed