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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7598406012014073100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.0
31.731.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
blue by 4.4
37.70.7
36.135.4
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
Second
7794
#12
23.60.0
22.022.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End8.2
blue by 3.6
7244
#14
27.20.7
29.829.1
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
Third
5247
#18
20.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End6.3
blue by 0.7
2246
#20
21.00.7
22.722.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned