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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047740601201401609844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#15
33.40.9
33.132.2
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End6.5
red by 5.3
5534
#16
28.12.1
26.924.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Second
33.30.9
31.730.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
red by 8.7
9176
#30
24.72.6
26.223.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End6.4
Third
7244
#14
27.20.9
29.128.2
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
red by 6.9
6097
#25
20.32.6
22.319.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed