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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848020406010012014016010083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.4
35.436.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
red by 2.3
5086
#19
35.50.5
33.534.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.4
Second
5110
#17
26.21.4
22.223.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End7.7
red by 2.6
7794
#12
23.60.5
22.022.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End8.2
Third
6963
#21
22.61.6
21.022.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.0
End5.9
red by 2.2
6097
#25
20.30.6
19.820.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned