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Red116
553428.1
360333.3
437738.8
Blue105
171137.7
91039.7
524720.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041058090100110120130116105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#28
38.80.3
38.138.4
Auto10.4
Teleop23.4
End5.1
blue by 0.9
910
#9
39.70.2
39.639.8
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End5.2
Second
33.30.3
32.632.9
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
blue by 4.4
37.70.2
37.737.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End8.1
Third
5534
#16
28.10.3
27.327.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.1
End4.5
red by 7.8
5247
#18
20.30.2
20.220.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End6.3