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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84104406012014016067123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5560
#11
30.60.3
31.731.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End8.5
blue by 8.3
4377
#28
38.80.6
37.137.7
Auto10.4
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
26.00.3
27.226.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End5.7
blue by 7.4
33.30.6
31.632.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End8.4
Third
2246
#20
21.00.3
22.121.8
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
blue by 7.1
5534
#16
28.10.6
26.327.0
Auto9.5
Teleop14.1
End4.5