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Red107
335761.0
400347.1
92069.9
Blue88
433719.4
687730.5
592728.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124655010015020010788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.1
53.353.2
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
red by 30.5
6877
#12
30.51.3
25.626.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
Second
47.10.1
36.936.8
Auto12.0
Teleop27.3
End7.8
red by 18.4
5927
#13
28.71.3
24.325.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Third
9206
#39
9.90.2
18.418.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 9.5
4337
#29
19.41.3
18.419.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned