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Red103
609427.0
612829.9
546239.8
Blue128
295930.2
335761.0
433719.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410750150103128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#11
39.81.4
32.634.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
blue by 21.2
61.02.0
53.255.2
Auto16.5
Teleop34.2
End10.1
Second
6128
#14
29.91.4
23.424.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End7.9
blue by 0.2
2959
#19
30.22.0
24.426.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Third
6094
#15
27.01.4
25.827.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
red by 7.6
4337
#29
19.42.0
19.721.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned