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Red40
92069.9
524819.5
547016.3
Blue126
49458.9
10744.2
687730.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42125010015020040126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#30
19.50.7
21.120.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 39.4
494
#2
58.91.3
51.352.5
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
Second
5470
#32
16.30.7
10.710.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End4.3
blue by 27.9
107
#9
44.22.1
28.630.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End9.3
Third
9206
#39
9.91.1
18.217.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 20.6
6877
#12
30.51.3
26.928.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned