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Red82
439510.8
2755.4
323431.8
Blue126
295930.2
687730.5
546239.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037205015020082126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#4
55.40.7
46.645.9
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 15.6
5462
#11
39.82.0
27.829.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Second
3234
#18
31.80.8
26.425.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.3
End8.6
red by 1.2
6877
#12
30.51.8
22.424.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
Third
4395
#37
10.81.2
19.618.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End4.4
blue by 19.3
2959
#19
30.21.8
21.523.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned