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Red47
642812.5
547016.3
570225.8
Blue125
609043.1
49458.9
433719.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3613005010015020047125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5702
#26
25.80.1
24.524.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End2.4
blue by 33.1
494
#2
58.91.0
52.553.6
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
Second
5470
#32
16.30.1
10.110.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End4.3
blue by 26.9
43.11.7
35.537.2
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End7.0
Third
6428
#33
12.50.1
10.911.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 6.9
4337
#29
19.41.0
21.822.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned