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Red59
687730.5
439510.8
485523.5
Blue85
592728.7
609427.0
861222.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658020401001201405985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6877
#12
30.50.2
28.227.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
red by 1.9
5927
#13
28.70.8
26.126.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Second
4855
#24
23.50.2
20.320.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End6.1
blue by 3.5
6094
#15
27.00.8
27.328.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
Third
4395
#37
10.80.4
14.113.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End4.4
blue by 11.6
8612
#22
22.40.8
19.620.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned