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Red131
546239.8
8544.6
724822.0
Blue145
496742.1
10744.2
400347.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021206080140160180131145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#16
44.62.2
42.144.3
Auto12.6
Teleop24.0
End8.1
blue by 2.4
47.12.3
40.142.3
Auto12.0
Teleop27.3
End7.8
Second
5462
#11
39.82.2
34.436.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End7.1
blue by 4.5
107
#9
44.23.8
33.437.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End9.3
Third
7248
#31
22.03.7
21.625.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End5.2
blue by 20.1
42.12.3
37.339.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned