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Red45
433719.4
439510.8
861222.4
Blue102
7050.6
924818.1
570225.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55104020408012014016045102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#22
22.40.9
20.419.5
Auto8.3
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 28.2
70
#10
50.60.4
48.548.9
Auto14.2
Teleop28.0
End8.1
Second
4337
#29
19.40.9
23.122.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End7.1
blue by 6.3
5702
#26
25.80.4
25.926.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
4395
#37
10.81.5
14.613.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End4.4
blue by 7.2
9248
#28
18.10.4
16.817.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed