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Red133
49458.9
561019.7
496742.1
Blue99
570225.8
861222.4
2755.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126101608014016018020013399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.91.2
56.557.7
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
red by 3.5
27
#4
55.40.1
52.152.1
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
Second
42.11.2
39.640.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End6.2
red by 16.3
5702
#26
25.80.1
26.226.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
5610
#38
19.71.2
19.120.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End4.2
blue by 2.7
8612
#22
22.40.1
19.519.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed