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Red106
400347.1
642812.5
323431.8
Blue52
561019.7
609427.0
439510.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976120408012014016010652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.0
44.645.6
Auto12.0
Teleop27.3
End7.8
red by 20.0
6094
#15
27.00.7
26.325.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
Second
3234
#18
31.81.0
29.630.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.3
End8.6
red by 12.0
5610
#38
19.70.7
20.720.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End4.2
Third
6428
#33
12.51.0
12.213.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 1.7
4395
#37
10.80.9
14.813.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed