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Red122
861222.4
612829.9
49458.9
Blue125
609427.0
2755.4
496742.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151336080100140160180200122125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.90.1
59.059.1
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
red by 3.5
27
#4
55.40.2
54.254.3
Auto15.9
Teleop30.2
End9.3
Second
6128
#14
29.90.1
29.629.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End7.9
blue by 12.2
42.10.2
42.442.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End6.2
Third
8612
#22
22.40.1
21.621.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 4.6
6094
#15
27.00.2
25.625.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned