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Red70
609043.1
515023.3
924818.1
Blue136
592728.7
400347.1
191840.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8812440608010014016018070136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.4
44.142.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End7.0
blue by 3.9
47.11.3
45.646.9
Auto12.0
Teleop27.3
End7.8
Second
5150
#25
23.31.1
23.822.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End6.9
blue by 17.6
1918
#27
40.91.3
39.841.1
Auto13.8
Teleop19.3
End7.9
Third
9248
#28
18.11.2
19.318.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 10.6
5927
#13
28.71.3
26.127.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned