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Red137
609427.0
49458.9
7050.6
Blue90
556728.1
191840.9
687730.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154995020013790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.90.3
59.359.0
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
red by 17.9
1918
#27
40.90.2
41.040.8
Auto13.8
Teleop19.3
End7.9
Second
70
#10
50.60.3
51.050.7
Auto14.2
Teleop28.0
End8.1
red by 20.0
6877
#12
30.50.2
30.630.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End8.6
Third
6094
#15
27.00.3
27.527.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
blue by 1.1
5567
#34
28.10.2
28.228.0
Auto11.1
Teleop11.9
End5.1