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Red147
609427.0
49458.9
7050.6
Blue122
400347.1
205450.1
861222.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491236080100140160180200220147122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
58.90.2
59.059.2
Auto16.5
Teleop33.8
End8.2
red by 8.7
50.10.1
49.950.0
Auto12.2
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
70
#10
50.60.2
50.750.9
Auto14.2
Teleop28.0
End8.1
red by 3.5
47.10.1
46.846.9
Auto12.0
Teleop27.3
End7.8
Third
6094
#15
27.00.2
27.127.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.2
End7.6
red by 4.6
8612
#22
22.40.1
22.122.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.6
End5.5