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Red55
496727.7
716625.9
84248.9
Blue64
564120.3
85823.2
335744.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971270501502002505564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#12
27.72.6
53.150.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.5
blue by 16.6
44.33.4
59.155.6
Auto12.7
Teleop20.9
End9.7
Second
25.92.6
26.123.5
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
red by 2.7
858
#5
23.23.4
29.225.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
8424
#11
8.92.6
14.211.6
Auto5.9
Teleop-1.4
End4.6
blue by 11.4
20.33.4
27.423.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsMissed