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Red42
496727.7
516724.8
564120.3
Blue54
550115.8
335744.3
387515.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611460801001201404254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#12
27.74.3
50.546.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.5
blue by 16.6
44.33.7
55.652.0
Auto12.7
Teleop20.9
End9.7
Second
24.84.3
32.628.3
Auto11.5
Teleop8.6
End4.9
red by 9.0
15.83.7
19.716.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End7.4
Third
20.34.3
23.919.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
red by 4.8
3875
#10
15.53.7
33.529.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed51%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsMissed