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Red88
556728.9
84248.9
564120.3
Blue35
550115.8
496727.7
345214.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559501502008835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.1
24.927.0
Auto12.8
Teleop9.8
End6.3
red by 1.2
4967
#12
27.73.3
44.541.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End5.5
Second
20.32.1
19.621.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
red by 4.5
15.83.3
16.112.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End7.4
Third
8424
#11
8.92.1
11.713.8
Auto5.9
Teleop-1.4
End4.6
blue by 5.5
14.43.3
23.620.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
1%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed